Month: October 2020

As we get down to the last 15 days before the Election, more and more attention is being focused on the polls. It is a data-palooza for the analysts, with new algorithms being fed through tens of thousands of simulations every day, spewing out new results. For most Americans though, especially in light of the 2016 election, one question stands out more than the predictions of who will win - can we trust the polls? If I may quote the...

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It all began with the election of 1952, when a UNIVAC computer correctly predicted the outcome of the presidential election. Now if you look at the election results from that year, it seems like it would have been a no-brainer to predict. After all, Dwight Eisenhower beat Adlai Stevenson by over 6 million votes, and wiped the electoral map with him by winning 442-89. However, according to all of the pre-election polls, expectations ranged from a Stevenson landslide to a...

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I've been encouraged lately about the publication of my latest book, "An Uphill Climb - Survivor's Guilt and the Inca Trail". Although sales continue at a trickle, they do continue - and are starting to pick up a bit. More importantly, the reviews posted on Amazon have been excellent, with 12 out of 13 rating it "5 star" and one "4 star". Even better, only one reviewer was not a complete stranger, and that one was someone I have not...

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